Pay Deals Threaten Inflation Targets

23 06 2008

 

Thanks to rising inflation, many private sector companies are being forced to settle pay deals at levels that threaten the government’s inflation targets, because of clauses in long-term pay deals.

 

Only last week Shell tanker drivers agreed to a 14 percent two-year settlement with managers, which has prompted fears this would set a precedent for other workers and calls for restraint from ministers.

 

Research group IDS Pay Databank’s analysis shows many other companies which previously negotiated two or three-year pay deals – at a time when inflation was expected to stay low for years – are having to give their workers a wage “kicker”.

 

This is because a large portion of such deals are linked to the Retail Price Index, which has risen sharply in recent months to 4.3 percent.

 

Such agreements are set to undermine the Alistair Darling’s pleading. Speaking to the BBC on Sunday, the chancellor said that “Pay awards in both the public and private sectors have got to be consistent with our inflation target of 2 per cent.”

 

Mr Darling and John Hutton, the business secretary, argued last week that the tanker driver’s settlement was a one off. However, other recent deals include Drax Power, who agreed a 7 percent pay rise for 60 workers, forming the second of a two-year deal. Babcock Engineering recently agreed a 7.6 percent increase with 50 workers.

 

Barclays Bank has implemented a 5 percent pay increase for 55,000 workers, as the first stage of a three-year RPI-linked deal.

 

These deals are much higher than the 3.3 percent Consumer Price Index measure of inflation. The government has tried to keep public sector deals at about 2 percent.

 

David Frost, president of the British Chambers of Commerce, described the trend as a self-fulfilling scenario which would fuel inflation further.

 

IDS has indicated the highest pay awards in three months to April – the last month for which accurate figures exist – were made to companies in energy and water, chemicals and engineering. One in five deals over 4 percent were lined to RPI.

 

Lois Wiggins, a researcher at IDS said: “The main reason they are now settling so high is because many are part of long-term deals, which means that in the second or third stage of these deals RPI is being used to work out the settlement.”

 

The most recent report by the research group, which showed wage inflation of 3.8 percent, suggested employers had been “wrong-footed” by predictions inflation would remain subdued.

 

This will add further pressure on the government as it seeks to keep a hold on wage inflation. Several unions have openly defied this policy in recent days, with Unison threatening to re-open a key NHS agreement for 500,000 employees.

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Zero Percent Cards vs. Store Cards

21 06 2008

There are numerous credit card offers that you might want to take advantage of, but are they really that great for you? Sure there are a lot of articles on the web telling you to compare cards and chose the right one for you; however companies make that really difficult by offering very similar credit card rewards and deals. Store cards used to be extremely popular because of the discounts and savings you could earn. Now we are seeing articles warning consumers against the store card market.

In fact in a news release George Osborne states that the high street shops are pushing their store cards on shoppers, which have excessively high interest rates. The Office of Fair Trading may soon become a regulator for the cards to penalize any store with these rates. About 2.2 billion pounds is owed on store cards and the number of accounts in the last five years has double to 13.4 million. Compared to credit cards this is pretty low as there are more than 1 billion credit card holders in the UK at the moment with close to the same amount in outstanding debt.

The store cards are not the answer instead for consumers who need to take care of high debt and get a fair rate on a card they should be looking to the zero percent credit cards. A site www.credit-cards-0.co.uk compares every zero percent credit card offer on the market at the moment. The website is set up to help consumers find the best deal for them.

A zero percent credit card is based on an introductory deal. Most of the cards will have the same purchase rate as other cards on the market, but the balance transfer rate is zero percent for 3 to 17 months. There are also credit cards out there offering life of the balance transfers.

The life of the balance transfer will offer a reduced interest rate by half or even more than half to the consumer. This interest rate will stay on the card until the balance transfer has been paid off. Barclay is one card that offers the life of the balance. In fact their rate has been as low as 1.99 percent for this type of card.
When consumers consider the high interest rates on store cards that are usually five percent higher than a credit card and then you add in the special rates for the credit cards, it makes the store cards look even more unfavorable.

Shopping for a new credit card can be difficult and a long process even using a comparison site like www.credit-cards-0.co.uk. If you are one of the consumers with a store card you might consider checking to see if the new credit card will allow the balance transfer between the cards. It is rare, but some credit card issuers will allow store card balances to be transferred.

The only way to get out of debt is to take a proactive stand regarding credit cards to obtain a card that works for you not the company.

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How the Mortgage Market is Changing

21 06 2008

The mortgage industry has changed in the last year and there are still more changes to come. The credit crunch from the US reached our shores last year creating issues with many individuals who had fixed rate mortgages ending in 2008. Due to the fact that the banks were struggling with the subprime market many decided to close certain products for a time like the 100 percent mortgages. Furthermore many banks and building societies stopped taking new applications and started rejecting more of the applications they did receive.

The mortgage industry has placed heavier guidelines on who they will loan money to. The credit scores need to be up and anyone seeking a loan must make a deposit and pay for the arrangement fees out of pocket rather than rolling it into a loan. Today more news was released about changes in the British mortgage market.

Individuals who have fixed rate mortgages are going to find it tougher to get remortgages that offer a great rate. The new fixed rate mortgage products on the market have just hit a ten year high and the rates will continue to rise according to the analysts.

The average fixed rate mortgage for 2 year duration is at 6.75 percent. The reason for these high rates has to do with the swap rates. The Bank of England’s base rate is still low as they try to combat the credit crunch; however the swap rates are not lowering on the fixed rate loans. Therefore, the consumer is not seeing the savings of the lower base rate, and it looks like the cost will continue on this steady climb upwards.

The swap rate last Friday was 6.49 percent. Many lenders have to pay this price and then make a profit off of the loans they offer, which means they are going to make the fixed rate higher than what they had to pay for it. Any mortgage toolbox is no longer going to have a mortgage at 6 percent or below. These will be taken from the market perhaps forever or just long enough for the economy to improve.

Even rates on the secure cash for lenders have increased by .44 percent in the last month. Francis Ghiloni is a development director who believes the sub 6 percent fixes will survive, but the arrangement fees are going to be higher. In other words the lenders may keep the 6 percent mortgages after a time, but this is because the profit margin is higher on the arrangement fees to make up the losses they would sustain for offering those products.

Halifax, Nationwide, Abbey, Woolwich, Lloyds TSB, and Cheltenham & Gloucester have all changed the products they are offering on the mortgage market. They have stopped offering the SVR’s to new consumers, and only allow those remortgaging the products. The changes will directly affect the other mortgages by increasing the interest rates as well as the arrangement fees. For consumers needing a loan it is best to have savings put aside before attempting a mortgage at the moment.

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SMFG in Talks to Invest £470m in Barclays

20 06 2008

 

One of Japan’s largest banks, Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group, is in talks with Barclays to invest about Y100bn (£470m) for a small equity stake in the UK bank.

 

Barclays has been looking to raise as much as £4bn in fresh capital in an effort to shore up its balance sheet without having to launch a lights issue that could leas to aggressive write-downs.

 

The UK bank has found itself under pressure from regulators and investors to boost its capital reserves. Barclays has been working on a plan that offers stakes to investors, including several sovereign wealth funds.

 

Barclays’ core Tier One equity ratio is among the lowest in Europe at a bout 5 percent.

 

The talks between Barclays and SMFG are a rather sensitive topic. It is unclear whether the UK bank will be able to raise the remaining funds it is seeking from other potential investors, according to a person close to the situation.

 

“Barclays and SMFG are also discussing a business alliance to capitalise on the UK bank’s network in Asia and its strength in wealth and asset management,” a source said. SMFG have declined to comment.

 

Japanese banks have been looking to expand outside their domestic market and become global players. In January Mizuho Corporate Bank invested £608m in Merrill Lynch.

 

“The Japanese banks have weathered the sub-prime crisis much better than western banks. Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group has Y4,400bn in tier one capital, so using about $1bn of that makes some sense (since) it’s difficult to deploy capital effectively in (the domestic market),” said Brett Hemsley, a banking analyst at HSBC in Tokyo.

 

Barclays has written off £1.7bn so far this year on complex debt securities but analysts say the bank has been less conservative that some of its rivals in marking down assets related to the US sub-prime mortgage meltdown.

 

Barclay’s shares, which have recently fallen to a 10-year low on fears about its balance sheet and worries that it may dilute existing shareholders by issuing new equity, opened 1 percent higher on Friday at 319p.

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Darling and King Warn of Hard Times Ahead

19 06 2008

 

Alistair Darling and Mervyn King yesterday delivered a bleak assessment of economic prospects for 15 years in what the Bank of England governor said was “the most challenging period” since 1997.

 

Mr King, during his annual Mansion House speech to City grandees, warned households should prepare for the “average take-home pay [to] stagnate this year”, and said that “the squeeze on real income growth is likely to mean that both house prices and consumer spending weaken together”.

 

In addition to this, the chancellor conceded his Budget forecasts would not be met, accepting that inflation would be higher than predicted and that no country could escape the effects of higher inflation on real incomes and economic growth.

 

Both Mr Darling and Mr King stressed the need for wage restraint. The chancellor insisted “inflationary pay settlements would undermine rather than raise people’s living standards” and the Bank governor waned that an economic slowdown “will be necessary to dampen price and wage pressures”.

 

The Shell tanker driver wage dispute is just one example that some companies and employees will do what is best for them rather than for the wider economy. The government insisted that the drivers 14 percent over two years, pay deal was “particular” to the industry, but Mr King issued a warning that he would not allow higher pay deals to result in ingrained inflation.

 

In a sign that the Bank of England was now thinking about interest rate rises, the governor said: “There should be no doubt that the Monetary Policy Committee is prepared to take whatever action is needed to return inflation to the 2 per cent target and to keep expectations of inflation in the medium term anchored to the target.”

 

A much tougher statement of intent than he gave in his letter to the chancellor on Tuesday, the minutes of the MPC meeting, published on Wednesday, revealed that the committee had discussed an immediate rise.

 

The governor made it clear he was not going to go soft on inflation, quite the opposite from his letter earlier this week. He fought back at critics who have called for the inflation target to be changed to ignore current pressures from abroad. “Target growth, not inflation is the cry,” he said. “I could not disagree more.”

 

“Without a clear guide to the objective of monetary policy, and a credible commitment to meeting it, any rise in inflation might become a self-fulfilling and generalised increase in prices and wages,” Mr King added.

 

His main message was that if everyone tightened their belts, accepted “a loss of real purchasing power” and understood the Bank could not side-step tough choices in the coming year, things would look up thereafter.

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Forex Trading online evolves

18 06 2008

In September 2006 the U.S. government passed an act called the SAFE port act. As a result, Many Internet powerhouse sites turned broke overnight and fired divisions of companies. Some may consider this an historical and courageous act by the U.S. government; others have become exhaustively bored online. For those of you wondering what this act included that had such drastic impact- it prohibits of online gambling. Benny Frank, a U.S. congressman, has tried to overturn that part of the SAFE port act but with no avail - to date.


So what are the heavy online gamblers doing online to fulfill their need to take dispose of their money at the expense of a short thrill? Or the occasional gambler who enjoys a good game of poker or blackjack with the hope of making (or loosing) a few bucks? How about all those big online gambling companies that have built up business reaching a far wider range of gamblers all the casinos have in their reach?


So, many people have continued to do things illegally and ended up in jail or got themselves in to other legal trouble. But one of the things I noticed emerged over the last year or so is the emergence of online forex trading sites. Foreign currency trading seems to be a legal way for the small time or big time player to get their “spending” needs out of their system. Trading platforms that have been developed by leading trading firms are being designed with a gaming like interface to draw in the gambler. I think it will be interesting to watch how the market of individuals trading Forex online evolves.

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How long can you get away with not paying your credit card?

18 06 2008

If somebody have the credit cards then they did not paying credit card debts is risky for borrowers, because banks or lending agencies imposes higher interest rates or penalties. They are very strict about their repayments. If you have credit card debts, then you can move for credit card debt management. Credit card debt management programs can be defined as a process of managing your credit cards and their repayments. It involves negotiating with your lenders regarding your credit card debts. These negotiations are regarding lowering down your repayments when you are unable to pay off. For this, you can hire a credit card debt management company.

With credit card debt management programs, a person can easily manage his credit cards. Comprising with various methods like, credit card debt consolidation, credit card debt negotiation, credit card debt elimination etc. credit card debt management program can be the best way to handle credit card debts. According to credit card debt consolidation method, borrowers can consolidate their various credit card debts into one and can reduce easily their present interest rate. And with this method, borrowers can alleviate their credit card debt burden.

Credit card debt negotiation works as a debt settlement. Incase if you have unsecured loans, then only you can follow this method. In this process, negotiation plays an important role in between lenders and borrowers. By negotiating, borrowers can reduce their credit card debt burden. Many a time, on behalf of lenders, various debt settlement agencies negotiate with lenders.

The credit card debt management on debt management programs also provides rational policies that provide a check for the future debts related issues. These polices subtly assist you to tackle all the unforeseen debts at its utmost. You can subscribe these services by pledging with or without collateral. Both tenants and homeowners can benefit themselves with the help of credit card debt management.

Credit card debt management is provided through online. You need not have to visit individually to obtain information or derive the services. The fluidity of such services saves your time and effort as you can obtain it from your abode or office. In this context, we should mention about credit card debt management agencies. Such agencies usually prepare various debt management plans in order to solve credit card debt burden. Normally, borrowers deposit their entire bills amount to them and from that amount they pay different bills. But remember, borrowers should opt for the service of a good credit card debt management on debt management programs agency in order to quench their credit card debt burden.

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Saturated franchises - Stay Away!

18 06 2008

Franchise could be the one of genius way to your financial leverage. But you also need a genius way to pick the right franchise system. The most important thing in selecting a franchise opportunity is investing in something that is likely to return a profit. Is there a market in your location for the franchise? Some franchises are geographically or demographically specific, like restaurant franchises, coffee franchises, and cleaning franchises.

Before purchasing any of the franchise opportunities, you must do the proper market research involved first. Also, franchises can saturate a market. Make sure to assess whether the market is already saturated of that opportunity. One-way to tell is if growth indicators in that franchise industry are declining. Simply because the franchise has a proven record for profits in the past does not guarantee it will the future. There are many franchise types you can choose, for example restaurant franchises, coffee franchises, and cleaning franchises. Often times very good profitable franchises quickly saturate the market and become unprofitable quickly.

Finally, before entering into any franchise opportunity, make sure you understand the franchise agreement. Even if the business model for the franchise opportunity is fantastic, the franchise agreement can still ruined your chances for profit. What you are looking for is a franchise agreement that will protect your rights. Try to learn about restaurant franchises, coffee franchises, and cleaning franchises on the website. Then you will be able to make a conclusion whether these kind of franchise (restaurant franchises, coffee franchises, and cleaning franchises) is good and fit for your plan. Never purchase a franchise opportunity without consulting with a franchise lawyer first to go over the agreement.

Another things to look for before buying franchise opportunities are the training and support for the franchise. Typically, people who sell franchise opportunities are only interested in the transaction, and provide little or no support after you purchase a franchise from them. Make sure to do your homework on the company involved before you purchase anything from them.

In conclusion, you must do the research involved to see see if there is a demand for the franchise, especially about this restaurant franchises, coffee franchises, and cleaning franchises in your area, determine whether the market is saturated or not, and enter into a good franchise agreement with a reputable company. If you follow this advice, you will do well in your franchise opportunities.

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Sainsbury Fall Behind Rivals

18 06 2008

 

Underlying sales at supermarket group J Sainsbury rose by 3.4 percent in the first quarter of the financial year, putting the retailer behind Tesco’s 3.5 percent increase and Wm Morrison’s 7 percent rise over similar periods.

 

Sainsbury’s chief executive, Justin King, said today that food price inflation in his branches “was a little over 3 percent in the quarter, up just 2 percent in the previous quarter, but well below official government statistics.” He said he agreed with Bank of England governor Mervyn King that inflationary pressures would continue for the next six to 12 months, adding that “prices for Sainsbury’s non-food items were still showing some deflation.”

 

Darren Shapland, finance director, said that most of the 3.4 percent like-for-like sales increase came from food price inflation, with “volumes just above flat”. The company’s fuel sales benefited from higher prices and from extra volumes as motorists shopped around for cheaper petrol.

 

Mr King said he was pleased with the company’s performance in the quarter, which met the group’s expectations. Although the group adjusted the number to take account of the changed timing of the Easter weekend, the quarter compared with a strong period last year, when like-for-like sales were up 5.1 percent.

 

Mr King said Sainsbury was “fighting hard for customers” whose household budgets are being squeezed by increasing its emphasis on promotional offers, extending its “Basics” range of cheaper foods and launching a “Feed your Family for a Fiver” campaign.

 

Recent consumer research suggests customers were cutting back on eating out in restaurants which could benefit sales of Sainsbury’s, up-market, Taste the Difference range.

 

Mr King was happy to report that non-food sales were continuing to “grow strongly” as ranges were expanded. Online sales improved by more than 40 percent, and improvements to the supply chain in recent years meant product availability in shops had risen further.

 

The company’s total sales in the 12 weeks to June 14th rose by 8.1 percent, given a boost by the increase in fuel prices.

 

Excluding new store openings like-for-like sales rose 7.3 percent, including fuel sales.

 

Echoing last weeks trading update from Tesco, which said its growth had slowed from more than 4 percent in the early weeks of its fourth quarter, the 3.4 percent increase in sales marks a slowdown from the 4.1 percent growth Sainsbury reported in the fourth quarter of last year.

 

Sainsbury shares have dropped since its 600p a share bid from a Qatari-backed investment group was dropped last November - Qatar holds a 24.9 percent stake in the company. Shares were 5p lower in early trading at 331p.

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Inflation Rate Expected to Rise above 3 percent

17 06 2008

The inflation rate, when issued later by the Bank of England, is expected to have risen above 3 percent in May, which could force the Bank’s governor to write an explanation to the chancellor as to why the rate is above the target of 2 percent.

 

Rising oil and food prices have pushed up the cost of living, while the UK’s economic growth has slowed.

 

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose unexpectedly in April from 2.5 percent to 3 percent, the biggest rise for six years. Some analysts predict CPI in May to have reached 3.2 percent. Rising Inflation has not only affected the UK, much of the worlds economies have suffered.

 

“Having leapt unexpectedly in April, there is a serious chance that consumer price inflation will move higher in May,” said Vicky Redwood, an analyst at Capital Economics.

 

If, when the figures are announced, they are one more percentage point above the governments 2 percent target, the Bank of England governor must write a letter to explain how it is to take control of consumer prices.

 

Mervyn King and his colleagues are likely to say that international commodity price hikes are to blame for the rise.

 

Up to this point, Mr King has only had to write one of these kinds of letter before, in April 2007.

 

Howard Archer, UK economist at Global Insight, said: “This would almost certainly be the first of several letters, as consumer price inflation looks well set to reach 4% this summer before starting to fall back late in the year.”

 

It would appear that the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) – the group of experts that set the Bank of England’s interest rates - is in a tight spot.

 

Analysts have warned that the rise in interest rates to curb inflation would dampen an economy that is already struggling from slowing growth and a weakening housing market.

 

At the most recent rate-setting meeting on June 5th, the Bank did not change its interest rate of 5%. The MPC, in an attempt to help the slowing economy, had already cut interest rates three times since December.

 

However, despite pleas from those struggling in the housing market, MR King and his colleagues will need to be convinced that the inflationary threat has passed.

 

The European Central Bank, which governs the 15 nations using the Euro, warned that inflation remained its biggest concern and that it would raise rates if it felt price stability was under threat.

 

Consumers and companies are already struggling with the effects of higher energy and food bills. With oil prices nearly double over last year, and the cost of petrol and diesel constantly on the rise, people have reigned in their spending in other areas.

 

As well as this, food prices have surged to record levels because of increased demand and inclement weather in key producer nations.

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