The US unemployment rate has risen above 10% for the first time in 27 years, leaving the US in a state of despair.

President Barack Obama will hold a jobs summit on Thursday, focused on job creation.

Although he has included business leaders amongst the 130 experts attending the summit in Washington, Republicans in Congress will opposed to any major spending plans.

President George W Bush has already frustrated them by spending billions on bailing out the banks and car makers.

The “big government” image and creating big financial defecits to be paid for by future generations are unpopular in Washington.

Economy.com’s Mark Zandi believes deficits are a major worry, but we can’t afford to be concerned about it now.

“That’s a problem not for 2009, not for 2010. That’s a problem for 2011, 2012 and beyond,” he says.

“We have to make sure that we don’t go back into a recession, because if we go back into recession, the cost to taxpayers will be even greater.”

“The deficits will be measurably larger, so I think it’s important to spend more money now.”

According to Mr Zandi, government spending needs to be aimed at assisting local government offices, as with tax funding falling, many employees are at risk of losing their jobs.

President Obama is on the look out for new ways to combat unemployment.

Unemployment benefits usually run out after six months in the US, but have been extended because of the highest unemployment rates.

Mr Zandi believes continuing with providing benefits to the unemployed as essential to maintaining demand, as those with no money make no purchases.

That situation could develop into a ‘catch-22’, downward spiral, as consumers that don’t consume, results in businesses cutting their workforce, causing more unemployed with no money to spend.

Another area where Mr Zandi feels the government can make a unique contribution is providing credit to small and medium-sized businesses.

Banks are still cautious over lending after the credit crisis, but have always given capital to start-up companies to help them expand, and these new businesses usually provide America with the majority of new employment.

Mr Zandi believes that “it’s clear that even when the economy gets back on its feet, we’re going to have very high unemployment in many parts of the country for a long time to come.

“One reason is that the people out of work don’t have the skills and education necessary to be employed in the jobs of the future.”

The UK’s Yorkshire and Chelsea building societies are said to be in “advanced talks” over a potential merger.

The Chelsea is the fifth and the Yorkshire is the second largest building society in the UK.

If a deal is reached, it would rival the Nationwide as big mutually owned mortgage and savings institution.

In August, Chelsea revealed a half-year loss of £26m after it had assigned £41m to cover to mortgage frauds.

The Chelsea has 35 branches and 700,000 members, while the Yorkshire has almost t three times as many members at 2 million and over four times as many branches, with 143.

The Chelsea building society announced, “the board of Chelsea has been undertaking a detailed review of the society’s activities, operations, financial position and corporate structure”.

“As part of this, Chelsea has considered the potential benefits to members and other stakeholders of a merger and this has culminated in discussions with the Yorkshire.”

The talks of a deal are being seen as a rescue package for Chelsea. New chairman Stuart Bernau has been analysing the business and viability over its independence.

In 2008, it reported a loss of £39m which was the highest recorded loss by a building society. £44m was written off due to huge investments in two failed Icelandic banks.

Another £15m was written off by the Chelsea after buying a mortgage broker in 2007 whose business collapsed during the credit crunch.

Building societies differ from banks and stock-market companies, as they are owned by their members, and struggle to regain reserves if they suffer heavy losses.

The Chelsea went on to reveal that “for a merger to proceed, the boards of both societies would need to be satisfied that it will be in the benefit of each society’s members”.

“The merger would also be subject to approval by each society’s members and the FSA.”

It has yet to be revealed if a merger would provide a windfall to the members of both societies. A spokeswoman for the Chelsea said that such details were yet to be discussed.

Several takeovers of building societies have been made since autumn 2008 in an attempt to save them from problems brought on by the global financial crisis.

In September last year, the Nationwide began its takeover process of both the Cheshire and the Derbyshire, then the Yorkshire made a move for the Barnsley building society, with the Skipton taking control of the Scarborough.

The US economy saw its first growth in over a year, rising to an annual rate of 3.5% between July and September.

Experts believe that a major spending plan by the US government which featured a scrappage scheme to encourage the car sales market has been the main cause of the upturn.

Some economists believe that there could be more setbacks lurking ahead, despite the official statistics showing that the recession is over.

A spokesman at the White House announced that recent economic progression was “a welcome milestone” but it would take more time for a full recovery to be recognised.

The US economy had risen 0.9% in relation to the previous three months, whereas the UK economy remained in recession, unexpectedly dropping 0.4%.

Hugh Pym, the chief economics correspondent for the BBC, revealed that the growth rate of 3.5% was greater than the 3.3% predicted by most experts.

He continued:”The sheer scale of the stimulus in the US has made a big difference, it was much bigger in percentage terms than that in the UK.”

“That the US, the powerhouse of the world economy is growing once again, is good news for the global economy has a whole.”

The last time the US economy grew was in the second quarter of 2008, by an annual rate of 2,4%.

The National Bureau of Economic Research will reveal the full extent of the US economic climb from recession when it analyses all the factors.

Some factors were significantly responsible for helping US economy during the third quarter, according to the Commerce Department.

The spending on durable manufactured products rocketed up at an annual rate of 22.3% which was the highest quarterly figure since 2001 and was spearheaded by the ‘Cash for Clunkers’ scheme helping new car sales.

Consumer spending increased on housing products by 23.4%, the greatest quarterly surge in 23 years, and came as a result of an improving housing market.

The big increase is considered by many to be due to the government’s $8,000 tax credit provided to first-time house buyers.

Government spending increased by 7.9% as stimulus spending spread and exports saw their biggest rise since 1996, rising by 21.4%.

Brian Bethune, an economist for HIS Global Insight stated that “it’s good to have the economy growing again.”

“But we don’t think that rate of growth is sustainable because it is distorted by all the government stimulus.”

“The challenge here is to get organic growth - growth that isn’t helped by fiscal steroids.”

However, unemployment is at a rate of 9.8% and a sharp fall came in September in the car sales industry as a result of the popular car scrappage scheme coming to an end in August.

Dean Baker, co-director of the Centre of Economic Policy Research believes that “you can say that the recession is over, but it sure won’t feel like that.”

“There is a lot of downward momentum that isn’t going to go.”

Plans to split British bank Northen Rock in two which would allow for its partial sale has been granted by the European Union.

The divide would result in two separate banks forming and are already being described as the “good” and “bad” banks.

The “good” bank would offer new lending, retain some of the existing mortgages and hold its savers’ money.

The “bad” bank would be used to repay the existing government loans and hold the remaining loans.

 Decisions made by the EU to accept the move are seen by Northern Rock as “an important and positive step.”

Changes to the existing setup will be made towards the end of the year.

The EU revealed that the good portion of the bank would be expected to grow and then be sold to third party, with the bad bank allowing its assets to dissolve then becoming liquidated.

The good bank may be sold prior to the general election next year with potential buyers being speculated already, with Virgin and National Australia Bank, owner of Clydesdale and Yorkshire Bank, among the interested parties.

EU Competition Commissioner, Neelie Kroes, believes that the move would make the bank a good long-term option, revealing that “this decision demonstrates once again that the EU’s state aid rules provide an appropriate framework to allow state support for a sustainable restructuring of banks without giving individual banks an unfair competitive advantage.”

Whilst Jonathan Todd, European Commission spokesman, said caps would need to be applied for the duration that the good bank remains owned by the public.

Some of the caps include a balance sheet reduced to a quarter of its size prior to the crisis, not being the market leader for loan interest rates, a cap set to limit its lending to one-third of Northern Rock’s 2008 levels and also a cap on retail deposits to be slightly lower than the pre-crisis level.

An investigation was engaged by the EU into Northern Rock in April 2008, two months after its nationalisation.

The results from the investigation showed that the UK government was kept at a “necessary minimum”.

By 30 June, the bank had paid back approximately half the taxpayers’ £26.9bn loan and will gain a further £8bn from the government during the end of year restructuring.

The EU stated that the restructuring would reduce its market share to below half of its pre-crisis level and “correct the excessive expansion of Northern Rock pre-crisis.”

Northern Rock released a statement, saying “this approval is an essential requirement of the planned legal and capital restructure, which is central to the business plan for Northern Rock.”

“The restructure will strengthen the capital and liquidity position of Northern Rock significantly, and offers value for money to taxpayers” and it would be “business as usual” for its customers.

According to official figures, the UK experienced an unexpected contraction of 0.4% for the third quarter, showing that the UK is still stuck in the recession.

This quarterly contraction is the sixth consecutive contraction, the worst run of figures that UK gross domestic product (GDP) has experienced since records began 54 years ago.

The GDP of a country represents the value of goods and services produced by a country. The figures released may be altered at a later date, as this is just a first estimate.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS), had been expected to show quarterly growth of 0.2%. However, no growth in retail sales for September and a 2.5% fall in industrial output for August had dented people’s positive expectations.

Experts have revealed that one of the main causes of the contraction was an unexpected drop in the services sector, with distribution, catering and hotels generating some of the worst figures.

Nearby countries France and Germany exited the recession earlier this year, and it is generally considered that the UK’s reliance upon the services sector, and more specifically, the finances sector being the main reason.

The UK economy has now experienced a 5.9% contraction since its high point prior to the recession.

The Bank of England is set to re-think its quantitative easing plan after seeing such a poor result in GDP figures. Quantitative easing involves the Bank of England printing money to buy bonds from companies and banks in an effort to encourage positive activity in the economy.

HSBC’s Bronwyn Curtis spoke with the BBC, revealing that “back in August we had a worse-than-expected second-quarter GDP number and that is the reason that the Bank of England extended the quantitative easing programme,”

ING’s James Knightly felt that the data was “awful with no positive news” and “clearly suggests that the likelihood of an expansion in quantitative easing by £50bn or so over the next quarter is rising, although [it] is not a foregone conclusion.”

It is considered by many experts to be disturbing that measures taken by the government and the Bank of England have failed to make a positive impact. However, David Kern, the chief economist with the British Chamers of Commerce believes that “continued intervention - including help for businesses to access finance, and incentives to promote investment - is still needed.”

“Above all else, business confidence must be nurtured, to ensure that recovery is not further delayed.”

Alistair Darling has announced that the government must borrow its way to recovery and believes that it’s the best avenue for the UK economy in the long run.

The Chancellor of the Exchequer confessed that further national borrowing “may feel counter-intuitive,” but “will mean the bills we face as a country are lower” in the long run.

However, many believe that the levels of government debt are already too high, with cuts in public spending and tax rises required. The government has already raised borrowing during the recession by high amounts.

Following Mr Darling’s speech, a question-and-answer session was held, with the chancellor finding agreement with Mervyn King, the Bank of England Governor, stating that there were “no simple answers” when it came to the reform of big banks.

According to Mervyn King, their core business may need to be divided into other practices to prevent them from becoming so big that they aren’t allowed to fail.

Mr Darling was concerned that “we cannot have a regulatory regime that excludes the possibility of failure.”

He went on to state that the banking sector needed more competition, and when the government came to selling its bank stakes that were bought during the financial crisis, it would be hoping to develop greater competition.

Many are calling for a reduction to the borrowing and spending that has caused so much debt, but Mr Darling believes that withdrawing government support would be “wrong and dangerous,” and the country would have to make a big decision.

At a speech in London, Mr Darling declared that “we can resign ourselves to a decade of austerity, low growth and low employment, or we can embrace change, turn it to our advantage and seize the huge opportunities a global recovery will bring.”

He continued by warning that withdrawing government support to the economy “would put the recovery at risk and abandon people facing unemployment.”

In a bid to encourage demand during the recession, the government has pushed billions of pounds into the economy through its £175bn quantitative easing plan, cut the VAT rate and helping ailing banks.

According to Mr Darling, a great deal of work was still required to steer the country out of the recession, including three big steps.

“First, we must support the economy until we’re sure the recession is over. Some are tempted to think the crisis is over. It’s not. Banks all over the world are still dependent on government support.”

The second step would involve raising taxes to regain financial strength and taking “tough choices on public spending for the years ahead”.

He added, that it “will mean cutting costs, cutting waste and cutting lower priority budgets, while continuing to invest in our priorities and our future.”

His third step would involve a government plan of growth.

“We need growth, because when we grow, the economy becomes bigger, we all become richer as a country, and it gets easier to pay back debt.”

Whilst the general financial atmosphere is improving and optimism growing, it is too soon to announce that we are in the process of recovery, according to experts at Ernst and Young Item Club.

The influential professional services firm expects some growth towards the end of 2009, but this growth should begin to struggle, with 1% expected growth for 2010.

They also predicted that customers repaying debt will grow slower than first anticipated and impending tax rises will follow the election.

BT Business research predicted a more optimistic outlook, declaring that small businesses are positive about the forthcoming year.

In September, BT Business conducted a survey of over 7000 small businesses and found that 75% believed their business would see an upturn in 2010, with 61% confident about their business’ prospects.

Professor Peter Spencer, Chief Economist from the Item Club, issued a wake-up-call to all those getting carried away with the optimism of recovery.

He warned, “there could still be substantial pain to come for corporates and consumers.”

“For a sustainable recovery the UK economy needs world trade to pick up and there is still not much sign of that happening.”

One of the factors holding back growth is that the VAT rate will return to 17.5% from its current level of 15% on 1 January, a change which may see consumers making purchases before the New Year.

Several other factors which will hold back growth lie on the horizon. An increase in national insurance contributions, the new 50p tax rate, the termination of the car scrappage scheme, tighter government spending and the return of stamp duty on housing are all due to hit the country.

Judging whether the recovery is happening, on the way or unlikely is difficult to forcast.

Professor Spencer went on to tell the BBC that the recent economic data has been “very mixed,” adding, “the stock market is absolutely rampant, industrial surveys all back in positive territory, but it’s yet to show through in hard data for output and things like that.”

“And when it comes to lagging indicators like unemployment, I’m afraid it’s going to be ‘feel bad’ for quite some time to come.”

On Friday, the official statistics for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) are released, with many expecting no economic growth at all.

GDP is a measurement of the services and goods produced in a country, and since the first quarter of 2008, the UK GDP has been in negative figures.

The Bank of England has focused on quantitative easing, an act of pushing money into the economy. Professor Spencer feels that this has been of little success, with the little improvement on bank lending, going on to complain that “instead, the banks appear to have used much of the money to rebuild reserves and improve liquidity.”

Official statistics show that one of the main measures of inflation has reached its lowest point since September 2004, another sign of sterling weakening. The annual rate of 1.1% in September was lowered from 1.6% in August by the Consumer Prices Index (CPI).

A separate measure of inflation conducted by the Retail Prices Index (RPI) found that mortgage interest payments and housing costs also dropped, from -1.3% to -1.4%.

The pound also reached its lowest point in the past six months when it fell 0.5% against the Euro to 1.0628 Euros and to a five-month low of 1.5730 US Dollars.

Weak

Duncan Higgins, a senior analyst for Caxton FX, felt that “this is bad news for the pound.”

“The CPI figures will weigh heavily on the UK currency and will continue to discourage investment.”

A report conducted by the Centre for Economics and Business research predicted UK interest rates would not rise above 0.5% until 2011 and fail to meet the 2% mark until 2014; a further damnation to the outlook for the pound.

Meanwhile, the strength of the UK economy was dealt a further blow last week when it was revealed that industrial output dropped in August.

A prediction for the GDP had to be recalculated by the National Institute of Economic and Social Research after the UK economy failed to grow during the June/September quarter.

However, the economy is still very “frail” according to the British Chamber of Commerce (BCC), despite business confidence improving.

In an effort to sustain a stable broader economy and prices, the Bank of England is making efforts to retain 2% CPI inflation. Should the CPI inflation drop below 1%, the governor of the Bank of England must provide a written explanation to the Chancellor, Alistair Darling.

High energy prices a year ago, in comparison to lower energy prices this September are being blamed for the recent fall in inflation. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported that electricity, gas, and other fuel bills tumbled by 7.3%. Energy costs have started to level more recently, with little change from August to September.

Jonathan Loynes from Capital Economics predicted that we can expect to see CPI back at the 2% mark by the start of 2010, due to increased energy prices and VAT returning to 17.5%. He does believe that a “huge amount” of unused production capabilities would keep inflation down and “keep alive the threat of a period of outright deflation late next year or beyond.”

In contrast, Keith Wade of Schroders UK forecasted that it “probably will be the low point in inflation.”

Forbes magazine’s “rich list” of billionaires has suffered 332 casualties due to the credit crisis.

Now, only 793 people are eligible for a spot on the list, but even they have lost an average of 23% of their wealth.

Bill Gates, founder of Microsoft has reclaimed the top spot on the list, even after his overall wealth has decreased by roughly £13.06 billion.

Warren Buffet, who owns Berkshire Hathaway, knocked Bill Gates off the top spot on the list after 13 years last year, but due to a $25 billion decline in profits, and 50% share value shrinkage in that last year, Mr Gates has stolen the number-one slot again.

656 Billionaires Have Lost Money in Last Year

Another to suffer the effects of the crisis, is Indian businessman Anil Ambani, who has slipped from number 6 to number 34 in 12 months after his net worth decreased by two thirds, to  £10.1 billion.
Overall, last year, the net worth of the top 20 on the list was $21 billion last year, this year it is closer to $14 billion.

Also, the last 12 months has seen only 44 people on the list managing to increase their fortune, while 656 lost money in total.

For example, Michael Bloomberg, Mayor of New York is one of the few that managed to increase his wealth this year, and is in fact the only member of the top 20 to do so. His wealth is thought to have increased by about $4.5 billion.

US Flying High

Discount retailing has helped keep many of the top 20 in their places on the list.

Founder of budget retailer Uniqlo, Tadashi Yanai entered the list for the first time despite the economic depression, at number 76, and is worth $6 billion. Meanwhile Aldi owner Karl Albrecht moved up four places to number 6 despite the fact his net worth increased by $55 billion.

When it comes to world regions, regions like India and Russia lost a lot of their wealth to the US, which now claims half of the top 20 spots, and generally has the most billionaires.

Along with this, New York beat Moscow with the most names on the rich list reaching 55 billionaires. Moscow therefore came third, with London sneaking into second place with just one more billionaire, making 28 in total.

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Prime Minister Gordon Brown has pledged that the government will work hard to ensure that struggling high street store, Woolworths, will remain open over the Christmas period.

He also told reporters that plans were being discussed so as to ensure that employees currently threatened with redundancy will be helped to find more work in the future.

This comes shortly after the most recent blow that the chain of stores has had to deal with recently, as lottery operator Camelot stopped selling tickets to stores.

Camelot declares its decision to suspend trading with Woolworths will become effective immediately, “pending the company finding a satisfactory resolution to its current trading difficulties.”

This means that Woolworths will no longer be selling National Lottery Tickets, scratchcards or process prize claims.

The chain will now be staying open until after Christmas, but there is still concern for the 30,000 employees that the chain currently employs.

The Prime Minister has said that: “the important thing is in the long-run that employees in this company – where the businesses and the shops are not going to stay open in the longer term – can get other jobs quickly.

“That’s why we’re going to move in immediately to give advice to employees in the company.”

Deloitte, the accountancy firm that has been appointed the administrator for the high street chain, has said that it is searching for a suitable buyer for the stores.

Dan Butters from the administrator said that: “In the last 24 hours, we have received expressions of interest from a number of parties for both the retail and wholesale businesses.”

The company did try to sell itself to restructuring firm Hilco, which would have taken the firms debt, but this deal fell through.

Deloitte has promised that though things are bad, it promises that employees will get paid.

Currently, Woolworths has 815 stores and four distribution centres, which employ around 25.000 people. It also owns Entertainment UK, which supplies DVDs to supermarkets across the country, and employs around 5,000 people.

2 Entertain is currently jointly owned by Woolworths and BBC Worldwide. Woolworths is currently trying to sell its 40% stake in this venture to BBC Worldwide.

Woolworths is just one of a few high street stores currently struggling, and analysts predict that worse is to come.

An analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown Stockbrokers has said: “the eye of the storm has moves in from the banks to the retailers.”

Other struggling stores include: MFI, who have also gone into administration.

Computer and Technology outlets, Currie, and PC World DSG International are blaming “tough and volatile” trading environments for their “29.8 million half year loss.

Kingfisher has also claimed that their profits at B&Q had fallen 9%.

Some fear that the ending of Woolworths could spark a price war if administrators try to cut prices in order to move the company’s stock, which could then lead to worse problems for smaller, weaker competing stores.

The Woolworths chain is currently struggling under its £385 million debt.

Its biggest problems started after having to pay cash for goods from suppliers, after trade credit insurers were no longer prepared to insure the suppliers to Woolworths.