UK Manufacturing Still On The Decline
13 05 2009Figures from March have shown that output from UK manufacturing is still decreasing; however, these falls were not as bad as was previously expected.
According to figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in the first quarter of this year, output declined by 5.5% compared with the three months previously. This is the worst fall since 1948.
Though in comparison, March’s output was only down by 0.1%, its smallest fall in 13 months.
The ONS figures also showed that the UK’s trade deficit contracted to £2.5 billion in March, compared to £2.8 billion in February – better than was expected.
Trade Getting Better, Or Worse?
An economist at BNP Paribas said: “The trade deficit is much better than expected for a second consecutive month.
“We’ve already seen the impact of the weaker pound on inflation, now we are starting to see the benefit in terms of a narrower trade deficit.”
The reason behind the narrow deficit is due to imports falling faster than exports as the weak UK economy reduced demand.
The wider measure of industrial production (which also includes energy supply, mining and oil and gas) fell by 0.6% in March compared to February. This would make the annual fall 12.4% - the biggest since 1968.
Downturn May Not Be Over
However, analysts are seeing this as a positive outcome: “The industrial production figures are significantly better than expected and the February fall was revised sharply upward,” said the chief economist at Investec.
“All in all, fairly positive data for the UK economy this morning.”
However, EEF – a manufacturers organisation- is saying that things are still quite bad in some areas.
Their chief economist Stephen Radley said: “It is too early to say that the downturn in manufacturing is over.
Skills Base At Risk
“While the overall figures say that the downturn in manufacturing is declining more slowly, the rate of contraction is still severe in some industries and trade volumes are still weak.”
According to the British Chamber of Commerce (BCC), the manufacturing downturn is still a threat to the UKs skills.
Their chief economist, David Kern said: “Although many firms are viable and productive, they face considerable risk to their skills base.
Unless the government takes further specific action to help manufacturers maintain these precious skilled jobs, the sector and the wider UK economy will suffer,” he added.
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