So What Does Inflation Mean For You?
2 04 2008While we hear news that inflation in the manufacturing sector has moved to its highest level since 1995, many people are starting to ask what inflation actually means to them. So what are the positive points and negative points of inflation?
Inflation is the change in the cost of an item or items over a given time span, normally 12 months, showing how the price of the said item has changed over the period. While it is safe to say that prolonged high inflation will ruin an economy, it is also safe to say that negative inflation or zero inflation also has the potential to cause major problems. Here we list some of the positive and negative aspects of inflation :-
Positive Aspects
Controlled inflation in any economy allows manufacturers and services providers to move the cost of the goods / service higher without pricing themselves out of the market. Inflation is a direct result of the supply and demand levels for a particular product. i.e. if there is little demand then the potential to move prices higher is smaller, yet if there is high demand and few providers, then those in the market can afford to increase their prices.
Increased prices mean increased income and so long as costs are kept under control it also allows the companies involved to increase the salaries of their workers. As incomes rises, more people will spend and the economy will continue to grow.
Inflation is also very important to the property market because inflation will allow rental charges to grow, and because the value of property is normally directly related to the rental income, this will keep the property market moving forward. Again, it is a controlled rate of inflation which is essential because when rental inflation moves out of synch with the market this can cause major problems.
Negative Aspects
While a controlled rate of inflation is good for the economy, a run away rate can have serious implications with costs racing ahead to levels which are unsustainable. The problem seems to occur when people have excess money in their pockets to spend and demand for products is pushed higher and higher. As the cost of the products moves higher there is a natural increase in costs with each element of the production chain wanting a share of the rise – including the workers.
When demand starts to fall many companies are left high and dry with costs which are unsustainable against the falling price of goods and competition. As more companies struggle we see more and more price reductions with many companies forced to sell goods at knock down prices. This can then move the economy into a vicious circle, where cost cutting means more jobs are lost, meaning less money for people to spend which then transfers into reduced sales then to more costs cutting, etc, etc.
Summary
While governments around the world will use different techniques to control inflation, one of the main tools in the UK has been interest rates where the authorities look to make borrowing more expensive to curb overspending, hence reducing demand and prices to acceptable levels. Where demand is falling the authorities would look to reduce interest rates to make borrowing cheaper, giving the consumer the opportunity to borrow and spend – increasing demand. At the moment we are in a very difficult situation in the UK because the cost of oil has increased, which has been passed down the line into business and onto consumers. So prices are rising while the economy is under pressure – a very very tricky situation.
Categories : Borrowing, Inflation





