Financial News

It Will Take More Money Darling

29 04 2008

It seems that the £50 billion bailout of the UK money markets will not be enough on its own to see the economy through the worst. In an unprecedented attack on corporate governance in the UK, the Governor of the Bank of England Mervyn King has warned the banks that they will need to play their part to ensure that the UK economy does not take yet another turn for the worse. So what is happening?

While there was a flurry of relief that the government had pulled off something of a coup with the injection of £50 billion into the markets, this case is slowly unraveling. We are still seeing mortgage lending slumping month on month, house prices have fallen over the last 12 months for the first time for many years and many mortgage lenders are placing ceilings on the maximum mortgages which they will authorise. The situation is not getting any better in the short term!

It would be unfair to suggest that the government thought the affect would be immediate but the much expected flurry of relief has yet to materialise in the market place. Banks are still running to shareholders for billions of pounds to shore up their balance sheets and many of the smaller mortgage lenders are going to the wall. As many people suggested at the time of the £50 billion cash injection, this is one storm which we will have to ride out and one which will get much worse before it gets better. So what about that tax payers cash?

The £50 billion of tax payers money which was introduced to the markets is still very safe with the banks being asked to provide collateral much higher than the amount of money they are looking to raise. There is also the further safe guard that the banks have committed to covering any potential loses on the government’s asset swap. Even if one of the smaller player or a larger player was to go under, the industry itself would be forced to foot the bill just to ensure public confidence remained high.

There has been little news of late with regards to unemployment figures but these are set to rocket over the coming months. There is often a time lag between the economy falling and jobs being lost, although it will not be long before the bad news starts to flow. We are hearing news over the last few days that some of the larger budget clothing Groups in the UK are under severe financial strain with MK One recently put up for sale.

This is very much just the tip of the iceberg and there will be substantially more bad news before we start to improve. The Bank of England may well be forced to reconsider their current stance on interest rates and inflation and look to cut rates in line with their US counterparts. When you know that £50 billion is not going to bail out your economy you know that you are very much in trouble!

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